| Topic: | Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Re:Low Traffic Neighbourhoods | |
| Posted by: | Ossian Olsén | |
| Date/Time: | 21/09/20 16:20:00 |
| Hi Tom, Great to receive a balanced and considered message and I completely agree with the notion that you should look at studies to try and forecast, imperfect, but the best we have. I always presume that people are doing their best. So in this case, I see no reason to disbelieve when Walthamstow was used as a comparison and the 15% reduction is being used as a benchmark (albeit I get slightly different numbers)…however I like your investigative mind wrt the consultancy and its self interest. I was not aware of this! Having said that, if we can accept that the data from Walthamstow is accurate, it shows a massive reduction of traffic through the neighbourhood. The reduction of morning peak traffic was also promising. I disagree with you however wrt to the 28% increase, if you look at the data that is not accurate. The 28% is the increase on the least trafficked boundary road; the overall increase to the boundary roads, over the two years, is 10.8%. This figure appear to omit the background noise of UK city car journey(around 5% per annum). Reviewing the data on page 70 of the study, the traffic in the neighbourhood was halved (50% down) between 2014 and 2016. That also appear to fail to take into account the background traffic growth, so would be even higher! Based on this I don’t think applying a 28% growth to the traffic at churchfield./horn lane is appropriate. 10% possibly, but that is number journeys per day, not peak, which decreased in Walthamstow so the experience by people should be vastly improved. Add to this all other benefits, such as reduction in accidents etc. I am even more convinced that this is a great initiative for Poet’s corner and Acton. Sounds like you could agree. All the best, Ossian |